Real Estate Inflation Hedge Indicator

Dubai Real Estate — Inflation Hedge Indicator

UAE CPI Inflation

2.3^%

Annual · Feb 2026

Dubai Rental Growth

8.4^%

YoY · Q4 2025

Price Appreciation

9.1^%

YoY · Feb 2026

Avg Hedge Spread

+6.1^%

Rental minus CPI

UAE CPI Inflation

Rental Growth

Price Appreciation

Prime & Luxury Districts

Dubai Marina

Waterfront · High-Rise

Strong Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

11.2%

Price ↑

10.8%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

11.2%

Price

10.8%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) +8.9 pp

Downtown Dubai

Iconic · Mixed-Use

Strong Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

12.5%

Price ↑

14.2%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

12.5%

Price

14.2%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) +10.2 pp

Palm Jumeirah

Ultra-Luxury · Island

Strong Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

16.4%

Price ↑

19.7%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

16.4%

Price

19.7%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) +14.1 pp

Business Bay

CBD · High-Rise

Strong Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

9.8%

Price ↑

11.3%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

9.8%

Price

11.3%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) +7.5 pp

Jumeirah Village Circle

Community · Mid-Rise

Strong Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

13.6%

Price ↑

12.1%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

13.6%

Price

12.1%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) +11.3 pp

Dubai Hills Estate

Master-Planned · Villas

Strong Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

14.3%

Price ↑

17.8%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

14.3%

Price

17.8%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) +12.0 pp

Established & Growth Corridors

Jumeirah Lake Towers

Cluster · Waterfront

Strong Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

10.4%

Price ↑

9.6%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

10.4%

Price

9.6%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) +8.1 pp

Mirdif

Suburban · Villas & Apts

Moderate Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

5.8%

Price ↑

6.2%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

5.8%

Price

6.2%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) +3.5 pp

Dubai Silicon Oasis

Tech Hub · Mixed

Moderate Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

6.4%

Price ↑

5.9%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

6.4%

Price

5.9%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) +4.1 pp

International City

Affordable · Cluster

Moderate Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

7.1%

Price ↑

8.3%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

7.1%

Price

8.3%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) +4.8 pp

Arjan

Emerging · Dubailand

Strong Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

15.2%

Price ↑

13.7%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

15.2%

Price

13.7%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) +12.9 pp

Motor City

Community · Low-Rise

Moderate Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

5.3%

Price ↑

6.8%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

5.3%

Price

6.8%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) +3.0 pp

Villa Communities & Townships

Arabian Ranches

Gated · Villas

Strong Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

13.1%

Price ↑

15.4%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

13.1%

Price

15.4%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) +10.8 pp

The Springs / Meadows

Emirates Living · Villas

Strong Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

11.8%

Price ↑

13.6%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

11.8%

Price

13.6%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) +9.5 pp

DAMAC Hills

Golf Community · Villas

Strong Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

12.7%

Price ↑

14.9%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

12.7%

Price

14.9%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) +10.4 pp

Jumeirah Park

Gated · Villas

Moderate Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

6.9%

Price ↑

8.1%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

6.9%

Price

8.1%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) +4.6 pp

Town Square

Nshama · Community

Moderate Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

7.6%

Price ↑

9.4%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

7.6%

Price

9.4%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) +5.3 pp

Dubai South / Expo City

New District · Future Hub

Strong Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

18.2%

Price ↑

22.1%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

18.2%

Price

22.1%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) +15.9 pp

Deira, Bur Dubai & Old Districts

Deira

Historic · Commercial

Weak Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

3.1%

Price ↑

2.8%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

3.1%

Price

2.8%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) +0.8 pp

Bur Dubai / Karama

Old Town · Mid-Market

Moderate Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

4.9%

Price ↑

5.4%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

4.9%

Price

5.4%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) +2.6 pp

Al Quoz

Industrial · Mixed

Weak Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

2.1%

Price ↑

3.0%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

2.1%

Price

3.0%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) −0.2 pp

Discovery Gardens

Affordable · High-Rise

Moderate Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

6.2%

Price ↑

7.1%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

6.2%

Price

7.1%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) +3.9 pp

Al Nahda

Border · Mid-Market

Moderate Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

5.5%

Price ↑

6.0%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

5.5%

Price

6.0%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) +3.2 pp

Al Barsha

Residential · Mixed

Moderate Hedge

CPI

2.3%

Rental ↑

7.4%

Price ↑

8.6%

Inflation

2.3%

Rental

7.4%

Price

8.6%

Hedge Spread (Rental − CPI) +5.1 pp

Methodology & Data Sources

UAE CPI inflation figure sourced from the UAE Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Centre (FCSC) and Dubai Statistics Centre, reflecting the official annual consumer price index through February 2026. Rental growth rates are derived from RERA (Real Estate Regulatory Agency) registered contract data, Bayut, Property Finder, and DXBinteract transaction analytics, representing the median year-on-year change in listed and transacted rental values.

Price appreciation data is compiled from Dubai Land Department (DLD) transaction records through Q4 2025 and February 2026 where available. The Hedge Spread is calculated as the difference in percentage points between area-level rental growth and the UAE CPI rate. A spread above 0 pp indicates property is outpacing inflation. All figures represent residential property (apartments and villas combined unless noted).

Hedge Classification: Strong Hedge = Rental growth ≥ 2× CPI; Moderate Hedge = Rental growth between CPI and 2× CPI; Weak Hedge = Rental growth at or below CPI level.

Real Estate
Inflation Hedge Indicator

Methodology & Data Sources

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Real EstateInflation Hedge Indicator

Methodology & Data Sources

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Inflation Hedge Indicator